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Cold Process
BlikelyWelcome to the Cold Process. Slow, steady, ruthless. This vault is built to compound, grow, and survive always. Most people react to markets. Reaction is expensive. Price is not truth. Volatility is not chaos.
Taking money
Open
TVL
$81.0k
Return
7.7%
over observed history
Recent
—
30d · 90d
Max drawdown
0.2%
peak to trough
Sortino
—
return per unit of downside risk
History
7d
813 observations
Confidence
2%
in these metrics
Value and drawdown
Range
Hover for values. Upper: vault value, with BTC indexed to the same starting capital. Lower: how far below its own peak it was.
No strategy has been declared for this vault
Everything above is reconstructed from public data. A declaration is free, signed from this vault’s own key, and cannot be edited afterwards.Note 28
Passport
Identity
Vault contract0xc3b1bf1f…4b11
Network
Hyperliquid
PlatformHyperliquid
OperatorCold Process0xfca598f2…c53d
Deposit assetUSDC
Created on-chain2026-02-02
First observed by us2026-08-11
Statuslive
What is deciding
unregisteredStrategy versionNot attested — the operator has not bound this record to a specific version
Model providerNot attested — no model declared
ModelNot attested — no model declared
System prompt hashNot attested — no prompt commitment
Policy hashNot attested — no policy commitment
Inferred moderules automated (100% confidence)
These fields are empty because nobody has attested them, not because we failed to find them. An operator who registers gets a record that provably cannot be edited after the fact — and a grade no unregistered strategy can reach.
How much to trust this
Provenance gradeBReal capital, readable at the venue — but the operator’s full cohort is unproven.
Machine-managedyes (70% confidence)
Evidence
- behavioural Execution timing indicates automation (rules automated): Trades continuously through every 6-hour window, including overnight.
Metric confidence2%61 observations over 7 days
RankingNot ranked — insufficient history
Alignment and capacity
Operator’s own share14.0%
Commission10%
Depositor wallets48
Concentration0.15 · largest holder 21%
Estimated capacity$4.05M ($2.03M–$8.10M) · floor
Net flow 30d$44.8k
Where the return came from
Costs consumed 6% of gross profitGross realised$6.5k
Trading fees−$364.33
Funding paid−$0.72
Net realised$6.1k
Unrealised−$27.87
Total$6.1k
That is 7.53% on the capital the strategy currently runs.
- Slippage is not separated: without a book snapshot at fill time it cannot be measured, so it remains inside gross rather than being estimated.
- Funding is differenced across position snapshots, so it is a flow over the window rather than a level: it counts what changed hands while we were watching and nothing before that. Intervals where a position closed and reopened are refused rather than guessed, which makes the figure a floor.
Computed from 2,593 recorded fills and the funding on currently open positions. It covers the window we have observed, not the vault’s whole life.
How well it executes
from 2,593 fills over 75.09 daysTaker share 16% by value
Fee rate 1.92bps
Daily turnover $25.2k
Annual fee drag 2.2%
- · Predominantly maker flow: the strategy earns the spread rather than paying it, which lowers its cost floor considerably.
How this vault behaves
from 2,593 fills over 75.09 daysTiming indicates rules automated management, confidence 100%.
- · Trades continuously through every 6-hour window, including overnight.
- · Activity spread evenly across all 24 hours (evenness 0.972).
- · 32 instruments traded concurrently.
Overnight activity 60%
Hour-of-day evenness 97%
Cadence regularity 0%
Clock alignment 31%
Fills per day 34.5
Instruments 32
Timing only. This says nothing about whether the strategy is any good — a losing bot is still a bot.
The venue overrode this book
The venue overrode this book: had 1 position settled when the market ended. Most recently 2026-06-29, in IP.
Observed, not modelled — the venue labelled these itself. A liquidation is a margin failure; an auto-deleverage is the venue closing part of a solvent book because the other side failed; a settlement is the market itself ending.
Current exposure
1 positions · $11.7k gross · 0.1x the vault's capital| Instrument | Side | Notional | Share | Entry | Unrealised | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LIT | long | $11.7k | 100% | 3.375644 | -$27.87 | 4x |
Snapshot taken 2026-08-24 18:45 UTC. A strategy that flips intraday can look flat at every snapshot and still carry risk in between. Click an instrument to see every other vault holding it.
How the capacity estimate was reached
- 5 of 21 instruments showed no positive edge.
- Impact is inferred from this strategy’s own realised cost, not measured against a book.
- A 10% participation ceiling is applied where venue volume is known.
- Trade size is converted to capital using the strategy’s own capital-to-trade-size ratio.
- Capacity is capped at 50× the largest trade actually observed — beyond that we are extrapolating.
- Measured edge exceeded 100bps per trade and was clipped — above that it is directional luck, not repeatable alpha.
- Capped at 50x current capital; beyond that the estimate is unfalsifiable.
- At least one instrument hit the observed-size cap, so the total is a floor rather than an estimate.
| Instrument | Edge | Taker | Median trade | Limit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LIT | 101.5bps | 16% | $306.00 | Edge 101.5bps against 2.6bps of realised cost. |
| ONDO | 55.2bps | 8% | $468.00 | Edge 55.2bps against 2.0bps of realised cost. |
| ENA | 89.5bps | 41% | $470.00 | Edge 89.5bps against 4.6bps of realised cost. |
| ZEC | 61.3bps | 16% | $298.00 | Edge 61.3bps against 2.5bps of realised cost. |
| WLD | 55.7bps | 17% | $370.00 | Edge 55.7bps against 2.6bps of realised cost. |
| PUMP | 64.8bps | 24% | $360.00 | Edge 64.8bps against 3.0bps of realised cost. |
| AERO | 61bps | 29% | $260.00 | Edge 61.0bps against 3.2bps of realised cost. |
| AAVE | 63.9bps | 14% | $569.00 | Edge 63.9bps against 2.7bps of realised cost. Estimate limited by observed trade sizes — treat as a floor, not a ceiling. |
Who is in it
as at 2026-08-24 01:27Largest wallet
21.2%
Top five
79.5%
Concentration
0.146
Wallets seen
25
venue caps its list — a floor
| # | Wallet | Deposited | Share | All-time P&L | In for |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0x414af9bf…c084 | $15.0k | 21.2% | $2.7k | 148d |
| 2 | 0xb356b0c0…748c | $14.7k | 20.8% | $2.7k | 176d |
| 3 | 0xaaadbd39…8ef9 | $12.2k | 17.2% | $1.5k | 132d |
| 4 | Leader | $9.9k | 14.0% | $4.8k | 202d |
| 5 | 0xd46eaa11…47c0 | $4.5k | 6.3% | $35.36 | 1d |
| 6 | 0x88da337b…8231 | $2.5k | 3.6% | $1.2k | 137d |
| 7 | 0x5fee71ba…f125 | $2.4k | 3.4% | $193.98 | 14d |
| 8 | 0xec593224…756b | $2.4k | 3.4% | $1.2k | 97d |
| 9 | 0xc0e1d24a…c1a0 | $1.5k | 2.1% | $97.42 | 6d |
| 10 | 0xe0a7373c…38e6 | $1.2k | 1.7% | $32.59 | 5d |
| 11 | 0x2a3d10e2…ce04 | $1.1k | 1.6% | $141.93 | 65d |
| 12 | 0x3be124ff…eea9 | $1.1k | 1.5% | $588.88 | 166d |
| 13 | 0xc5ba112d…843e | $574.76 | 0.8% | $122.19 | 78d |
| 14 | 0x211be508…029e | $521.49 | 0.7% | $217.73 | 145d |
| 15 | 0xa8a3ab71…e3fc | $494.75 | 0.7% | $214.73 | 131d |
| 16 | 0x9764ea0e…537c | $274.96 | 0.4% | $24.96 | 16d |
| 17 | 0xd6a0762a…58f3 | $147.39 | 0.2% | $13.39 | 16d |
| 18 | 0x77c9c812…5ec7 | $100.24 | 0.1% | $0.24 | 1d |
| 19 | 0xb5d1814a…9248 | $61.41 | 0.1% | $11.61 | 71d |
| 20 | 0x94fdd7f5…635e | $29.00 | 0.0% | $1.75 | 3d |
| 21 | 0xf9f9ae20…eb14 | $19.05 | 0.0% | $7.14 | 106d |
| 22 | 0x0875f247…48a7 | $12.57 | 0.0% | $5.46 | 131d |
| 23 | 0x5c5c3389…a5b2 | $11.50 | 0.0% | $8.01 | 197d |
| 24 | 0x6b0f2d65…674b | $11.06 | 0.0% | $6.99 | 173d |
| 25 | 0x28506fe1…a037 | $10.78 | 0.0% | $1.05 | 98d |
Shares are of the capital we can observe, not of reported TVL ($81.0k) — dividing by a total that includes wallets outside our sample would understate every share and make concentration look better than it is. The venue returns at most a hundred wallets, so the count is a floor and the largest shares are a ceiling.
Money in and out
Ledger read 21 hours agoIn
$170.1k
60 deposits
Out
$0.00
0 withdrawals
Net
$170.1k
210.0% of TVL
Window
75d
last 60 movements
| When | Type | Amount | Of vault | Transaction |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 20:06 | deposit | $843.34 | 1.04% | 0x4d42e9c9…e358 |
| 2026-08-22 22:52 | deposit | $100.00 | 0.12% | 0x3e489994…d740 |
| 2026-08-22 06:07 | deposit | $4.4k | 5.49% | 0x6ca90516…2abc |
| 2026-08-22 05:44 | deposit | $328.49 | 0.41% | 0x20e55c49…2338 |
| 2026-08-21 19:13 | deposit | $5.00 | 0.01% | 0xdddf187e…d975 |
| 2026-08-21 06:20 | deposit | $10.00 | 0.01% | 0x6fb86b82…0e47 |
| 2026-08-20 17:42 | deposit | $27.25 | 0.03% | 0xc10b2d9a…776b |
| 2026-08-20 05:57 | deposit | $1.5k | 1.85% | 0x97caeb67…806a |
| 2026-08-20 05:53 | deposit | $983.66 | 1.21% | 0x0d082e0c…5f79 |
| 2026-08-20 05:51 | deposit | $985.93 | 1.22% | 0x4e906ea4…3b22 |
| 2026-08-19 20:25 | deposit | $50.00 | 0.06% | 0xd0e1bd9d…373b |
| 2026-08-19 06:11 | deposit | $247.53 | 0.31% | 0x54c54e04…010e |
| 2026-08-18 23:59 | deposit | $1.4k | 1.76% | 0xa1a94528…41d7 |
| 2026-08-18 18:39 | deposit | $5.0k | 6.17% | 0x8fcf93a4…f54f |
| 2026-08-18 14:20 | deposit | $2.2k | 2.76% | 0xe8d0d41e…a171 |
| 2026-08-17 23:43 | deposit | $151.00 | 0.19% | 0x35ca683d…40e8 |
| 2026-08-16 20:50 | deposit | $25.00 | 0.03% | 0xcc8c2d4b…86f9 |
| 2026-08-16 20:49 | deposit | $25.00 | 0.03% | 0x39088dbd…1af1 |
| 2026-08-16 00:01 | deposit | $200.00 | 0.25% | 0xbd18d08a…7728 |
| 2026-08-13 21:54 | deposit | $139.78 | 0.17% | 0xebcadae3…8a19 |
| 2026-08-13 21:39 | deposit | $6.4k | 7.91% | 0x85b53efb…66ba |
| 2026-08-12 22:26 | deposit | $300.00 | 0.37% | 0xac2f641b…6bce |
| 2026-08-12 20:42 | deposit | $136.82 | 0.17% | 0xe56a7133…f146 |
| 2026-08-12 08:57 | deposit | $10.00 | 0.01% | 0x9db8fd0f…480f |
| 2026-08-12 06:12 | deposit | $599.80 | 0.74% | 0xe502f478…9f53 |
| 2026-08-11 07:46 | deposit | $1.0k | 1.23% | 0xd8566f65…578e |
| 2026-08-11 00:23 | deposit | $144.73 | 0.18% | 0x8ef47ca1…be48 |
| 2026-08-09 14:21 | deposit | $100.00 | 0.12% | 0xf9445993…a6e8 |
| 2026-08-09 09:44 | deposit | $700.00 | 0.86% | 0x4f48b80f…2b3b |
| 2026-08-09 07:02 | deposit | $1.4k | 1.73% | 0x7b61e326…e7d6 |
| 2026-08-07 14:57 | deposit | $134.00 | 0.17% | 0x270cf2e7…1939 |
| 2026-08-07 14:51 | deposit | $250.00 | 0.31% | 0x23d14b24…3601 |
| 2026-07-31 17:05 | deposit | $11.8k | 14.51% | 0x6c67d8b9…1a7a |
| 2026-07-31 08:04 | deposit | $3.0k | 3.70% | 0x6592676b…d093 |
| 2026-07-27 16:35 | deposit | $135.72 | 0.17% | 0x2c11cc53…c482 |
| 2026-07-22 12:39 | deposit | $50.00 | 0.06% | 0xe3c75b2a…ec51 |
| 2026-07-20 01:46 | deposit | $200.00 | 0.25% | 0x1559409b…6257 |
| 2026-07-11 14:10 | deposit | $3.0k | 3.70% | 0x44f924e7…6eb9 |
| 2026-07-05 23:54 | deposit | $2.0k | 2.47% | 0x0ebcc7eb…b3e4 |
| 2026-06-26 13:29 | deposit | $50.00 | 0.06% | 0x027c6dc4…2f21 |
| 2026-06-23 22:45 | deposit | $16.0k | 19.75% | 0xb4795273…ec59 |
| 2026-06-22 08:04 | deposit | $6.5k | 7.97% | 0xd34b2d2a…8fc4 |
| 2026-06-19 14:10 | deposit | $300.00 | 0.37% | 0x65af2e92…f383 |
| 2026-06-19 01:47 | deposit | $14.91 | 0.02% | 0xf268fab9…166c |
| 2026-06-18 00:10 | deposit | $8.91 | 0.01% | 0x35a68312…4e58 |
| 2026-06-17 21:10 | deposit | $5.95 | 0.01% | 0x3c9a0ed2…bcfc |
| 2026-06-17 15:08 | deposit | $777.00 | 0.96% | 0xb15df073…f5ee |
| 2026-06-17 14:54 | deposit | $50.3k | 62.12% | 0x4f088f18…7ceb |
| 2026-06-17 09:11 | deposit | $50.00 | 0.06% | 0x6337f1ae…8005 |
| 2026-06-13 20:47 | deposit | $49.80 | 0.06% | 0xb56dc986…9372 |
| 2026-06-13 03:10 | deposit | $5.97 | 0.01% | 0x46e5796f…28e6 |
| 2026-06-12 04:46 | deposit | $13.5k | 16.65% | 0x3979ea7f…181a |
| 2026-06-11 03:23 | deposit | $6.04 | 0.01% | 0xee78273c…c72e |
| 2026-06-10 00:27 | deposit | $7.13 | 0.01% | 0xa739ebd2…9294 |
| 2026-06-09 20:13 | deposit | $1.0k | 1.23% | 0x59b9723c…7d20 |
| 2026-06-09 20:02 | deposit | $2.0k | 2.47% | 0x7f713d40…6576 |
| 2026-06-09 17:48 | deposit | $3.2k | 4.01% | 0x3fa615e5…dcdb |
| 2026-06-09 17:44 | deposit | $11.6k | 14.29% | 0xe1a705fe…7556 |
| 2026-06-09 17:41 | deposit | $7.4k | 9.18% | 0x4c3c465c…db3a |
| 2026-06-09 17:40 | deposit | $7.3k | 8.96% | 0x67f6f6b0…5547 |
Shares are against the vault’s current size, so an old movement is measured against today rather than against what the vault was then. It is the comparison a reader wants — how much of this vault that was — and it is not the same as the share it represented at the time.
The shape of the record
361 completed round tripsRebuilt from the venue’s own open and close labels on every fill. A return figure cannot say whether it came from being right often and small or rarely and large, and those are opposite businesses.
Win rate
99%
Payoff
0.06
Profit factor
10.83
Median hold
1.3h
361 round trips, 99% of them profitable, holding a median 1.3 hours. The average win is $33 and the average loss $541 — it wins far more often than it loses and loses more when it does. That is the signature of selling optionality, and it produces a clean equity curve until the day it does not.
What is still missing
- Operator cohort. We show what the venue still exposes; strategies deleted before we began observing are invisible, and only pre-registration can make a cohort provably complete.
- Gross-to-net waterfall. Returns are venue-reported and not yet decomposed into fees, funding and slippage.
- Off-chain exposure. Anything held on a centralised exchange is invisible to us, so the risk shown is a floor.