Nominally independent vaults are often in the same trade. When the market moves against them they do not leave one by one — they leave together, through the same liquidity, turning a controlled loss into a cascade. This page measures how much of that is happening, and is honest about how much of it we can see. Click an instrument to see exactly which vaults hold it.
Holding more than a quarter of a day of the asset's own trading, across the 177 instruments we could price. This is the list that traps somebody.
These are different lists on purpose. Coverage measures the share of the contract; exit time measures whether the asset can absorb the position leaving. A crowd can be most of a contract and still walk out in an hour.
Vaults entering a crowd went on to underperform matched vaults that did not by -135281.76% at the worst point of the following 20 days. Shuffling the event dates produces a path that extreme 26% of the time, so this is not yet distinguishable from noise.
| Day | Entered a crowd | Matched controls | Difference | Events |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| -5 | 1347.03% | 887.77% | 459.26% | 119 |
| -4 | 1071.39% | 205.99% | 865.40% | 119 |
| -3 | 450.37% | 71.20% | 379.17% | 119 |
| -2 | 292.07% | 28.83% | 263.24% | 119 |
| -1 | 36.11% | 6.62% | 29.49% | 119 |
| +1 | 62.24% | 0.66% | 61.58% | 119 |
| +2 | 3663.23% | 12.43% | 3650.79% | 119 |
| +3 |
| 15637.06% |
| 3359.97% |
| 12277.09% |
| 119 |
| +4 | 44341.31% | 28647.83% | 15693.48% | 120 |
| +5 | 81299.32% | 111480.06% | -30180.74% | 120 |
| +6 | 125772.40% | 261054.16% | -135281.76% | 120 |
| +7 | 940495.95% | 448420.52% | 492075.43% | 121 |
| +8 | 90033927.05% | 734160.48% | 89299766.57% | 121 |
| +9 | 11896849066.26% | 1870513.00% | 11894978553.26% | 121 |
| +10 | 12111414679.95% | 4240060.65% | 12107174619.29% | 121 |
| +11 | 13141975834.85% | 5300688.32% | 13136675146.53% | 121 |
| +12 | 13141975834.85% | 5300688.32% | 13136675146.53% | 121 |
| +13 | 13141975834.85% | 5300688.32% | 13136675146.53% | 121 |
| +14 | 13141975834.85% | 5300688.32% | 13136675146.53% | 121 |
| +15 | 13141975834.85% | 5300688.32% | 13136675146.53% | 121 |
| +16 | 13141975834.85% | 5300688.32% | 13136675146.53% | 121 |
| +17 | 13141975834.85% | 5300688.32% | 13136675146.53% | 121 |
| +18 | 13141975834.85% | 5300688.32% | 13136675146.53% | 121 |
| +19 | 13141975834.85% | 5300688.32% | 13136675146.53% | 121 |
| +20 | 13141975834.85% | 5300688.32% | 13136675146.53% | 121 |