Depositor tracking

Which wallets keep turning up in vaults before the good stretches. Because we record when each depositor entered alongside the vault’s value history, we can ask the only question worth asking about an allocator: what happened after they arrived? Ranked by timing rather than by return — picking a vault that was rising anyway is not skill.

Addresses seen

22,268

In one vault only: 20,056

In two or more vaults

2212

Timing measurable: 957
Not yet measurable: 1255

With measurable timing

957

Behind holding from the start

691

of 957 measured

Beat holding from the start

of those measured

Read this before using the ranking. The venue lists only current depositors, so anyone who entered, lost money and left is invisible — every address below survived, which flatters all of them. Only the largest 100 holders per vault are published, so smaller and earlier positions are missing. And our value history begins when we started observing, not when the vault did. This is a lead worth investigating, not a verdict.

Chance alone would put the “beat holding” figure near 50%. It currently sits far below that, which at this stage says more about the shortness of our history than about anyone’s judgement: most entries we can measure landed after a vault’s early growth was already in its average. Treat the ranking as usable only once that figure approaches half.

Best timing

Best timing Worst timing

Ranked by timing rather than by return, because picking a vault that was rising anyway is not skill.

#	Address	Vaults	Equity	Return since entry	Timing edge	Hit rate	Confidence
1	0x96f0cd31…cc8a	2	$483.00	1000.0%	1044.2%	100%	40%
2	0x7e7d702a…d9c6	2	$72.00	1000.0%	1044.2%	100%	40%
3	0xaa41f7a7…587a	3	$1.00	1000.0%	1044.2%	100%	57%
4	0x0793d174…6463	3	$0.00	1000.0%	1044.2%	100%	43%
5	0x121caadf…d86f	2	$0.00	1000.0%	1044.2%	100%	40%
6	0x7ee02966…402b	2	$0.00	1000.0%	1044.2%	100%	40%
7	0x9767e810…5c5a	2	$2.5k	1000.0%	991.3%	50%	60%
8	0x04ea7079…c3f9	3	$933.00	914.4%	885.3%	50%	57%
9	0x2bb1cef2…cb4e	2	$0.00	1000.0%	730.5%	100%	60%
10	0x8e034a5c…a3d4	3	$494.00	1000.0%	722.6%	100%	43%
11	0x9b487119…7b88	6	$93.00	1000.0%	701.4%	100%	73%
12	0x33fe7755…9c7a	2	$0.00	634.9%	644.0%	50%	60%
13	0xd4ae71b1…83b3	2	$74.00	808.9%	596.9%	50%	60%
14	0x4b901e0a…1063	2	$0.00	1000.0%	431.0%	100%	40%
15	0x5aa974dd…8d02	2	$0.00	1000.0%	431.0%	100%	40%
16	0x5d95c4ff…8b9d	3	$0.00	1000.0%	431.0%	100%	43%
17	0x79d6cb74…c12d	2	$0.00	1000.0%	431.0%	100%	40%
18	0x82f74e22…a6c8	2	$0.00	1000.0%	431.0%	100%	40%
19	0x97aacd87…42f6	2	$0.00	1000.0%	431.0%	100%	40%
20	0xc1892d21…9749	5	$0.00	1000.0%	431.0%	100%	58%
21	0x54d09f84…396d	3	$117.00	969.7%	412.6%	50%	57%
22	0x12accdb6…10c0	3	$959.00	589.2%	339.1%	100%	43%
23	0xa633942f…2f91	21	$0.00	731.0%	319.8%	57%	73%
24	0xda277ea2…61b9	2	$0.00	493.9%	280.5%	50%	60%
25	0xd7555663…38a7	3	$2.1k	224.6%	277.6%	100%	43%
26	0xe780aee5…457f	2	$1.3k	224.6%	277.6%	100%	40%
27	0xb7f12dc3…617c	2	$0.00	437.0%	236.8%	50%	60%
28	0x6a42ab28…2256	6	$2.00	1000.0%	236.6%	50%	73%
29	0x2f5666c3…8f00	19	$0.00	731.8%	216.3%	83%	73%
30	0xa806f622…a7be	4	$676.00	154.6%	207.5%	100%	50%
31	0xde71c86e…c36f	2	$380.00	148.3%	201.2%	100%	40%
32	0x1a3005a6…aa1d	4	$203.00	843.1%	193.7%	100%	60%
33	0x81972226…177b	4	$0.00	343.6%	185.5%	100%	60%
34	0x4c5fee08…c3d3	5	$205.00	660.1%	183.1%	75%	82%
35	0xdbf7dfdb…5da3	4	$0.00	801.8%	174.2%	100%	70%
36	0xf065af75…75cd	16	$199.00	656.4%	164.5%	50%	80%
37	0xed929641…2c2e	3	$75.00	548.2%	163.2%	50%	57%
38	0x89fbe3a8…3f24	3	$67.00	405.4%	159.6%	100%	57%
39	0xd449170e…d107	15	$0.00	595.3%	139.8%	86%	79%
40	0x270f2575…7904	5	$0.00	399.4%	136.8%	80%	90%
41	0x09aa1416…d7a5	4	$0.00	484.5%	118.6%	67%	70%
42	0xda4b475f…0dd4	4	$0.00	501.3%	110.7%	100%	70%
43	0xbd57ecf5…da6b	3	$0.00	327.3%	108.2%	33%	70%
44	0x121e1573…a163	2	$3.00	101.2%	97.8%	100%	40%
45	0x1af263cc…d05a	3	$2.7k	996.0%	85.5%	67%	70%
46	0x9c284cf0…14a8	5	$588.00	332.7%	82.6%	100%	58%
47	0x36d837cb…6d1c	3	$2.00	332.7%	82.6%	100%	57%
48	0xdf50f3bf…f371	2	$0.00	332.7%	82.6%	100%	40%
49	0xb151bc2d…4c19	4	$0.00	295.1%	75.3%	100%	60%
50	0x04de560d…fa00	2	$0.00	288.6%	74.1%	100%	60%
51	0x5320ddfd…53f0	2	$1.6k	93.7%	68.8%	50%	60%
52	0xebf9eb14…ecae	2	$0.00	198.7%	62.1%	100%	40%
53	0xbb8a2e9d…0d98	3	$473.00	1000.0%	61.6%	100%	43%
54	0x22c2c76b…d95d	2	$98.00	1000.0%	61.6%	50%	60%
55	0xbddad97a…6900	6	$18.00	1000.0%	61.6%	100%	67%
56	0x5c162e7e…2da8	2	$0.00	1000.0%	61.6%	100%	40%
57	0xbfe11cd5…58d2	4	$4.6k	-1.3%	51.7%	0%	50%
58	0x32cef956…6610	23	$66.00	1000.0%	35.8%	56%	76%
59	0x8416ed45…9cfb	4	$0.00	107.6%	29.2%	100%	50%
60	0x557b2d70…3fc7	2	$588.00	65.6%	14.7%	100%	60%