Depositor tracking

Which wallets keep turning up in vaults before the good stretches. Because we record when each depositor entered alongside the vault’s value history, we can ask the only question worth asking about an allocator: what happened after they arrived? Ranked by timing rather than by return — picking a vault that was rising anyway is not skill.

Addresses seen

22,274

In one vault only: 20,061

In two or more vaults

2213

Timing measurable: 957
Not yet measurable: 1256

With measurable timing

957

Behind holding from the start

691

of 957 measured

Beat holding from the start

of those measured

Read this before using the ranking. The venue lists only current depositors, so anyone who entered, lost money and left is invisible — every address below survived, which flatters all of them. Only the largest 100 holders per vault are published, so smaller and earlier positions are missing. And our value history begins when we started observing, not when the vault did. This is a lead worth investigating, not a verdict.

Chance alone would put the “beat holding” figure near 50%. It currently sits far below that, which at this stage says more about the shortness of our history than about anyone’s judgement: most entries we can measure landed after a vault’s early growth was already in its average. Treat the ranking as usable only once that figure approaches half.

Worst timing

Best timing Worst timing

The same measurement read from the other end: entries that did worse than simply having been in the vault all along. This is the larger half — 72% of measured entries are behind holding, and none of them appeared anywhere on this page before. What it still cannot show you: everyone here is a current depositor, so these are the wallets that timed it badly and stayed. Those who lost and left are not in the venue's list at all, and their absence flatters this ranking exactly as much as it flatters the other one.

#	Address	Vaults	Equity	Return since entry	Timing edge	Hit rate	Confidence
1	0xb82cb769…5d32	2	$58.8k	-99.0%	-1099.0%	0%	40%
2	0x1b16c369…3af5	12	$19.4k	-99.0%	-1099.0%	50%	73%
3	0xd10420de…53fe	2	$4.9k	-99.0%	-1099.0%	0%	40%
4	0x261b9e33…9d5c	2	$4.8k	-99.0%	-1099.0%	0%	40%
5	0xa7aab5d4…9162	2	$4.8k	-99.0%	-1099.0%	0%	40%
6	0x456ddcac…5cc9	2	$4.8k	-99.0%	-1099.0%	0%	40%
7	0xdf61563e…75f0	2	$4.8k	-99.0%	-1099.0%	0%	40%
8	0x5fc6cb6c…8ab5	2	$4.7k	-99.0%	-1099.0%	0%	40%
9	0xb47caa31…ac8f	2	$4.2k	-99.0%	-1099.0%	0%	40%
10	0xd968f6c4…e8ab	2	$3.0k	-99.0%	-1099.0%	0%	40%
11	0x696660b7…f2fb	5	$1.0k	-99.0%	-1099.0%	0%	58%
12	0xa87303e0…2a30	2	$707.00	-99.0%	-1099.0%	50%	60%
13	0x328367d1…80d1	2	$693.00	-99.0%	-1099.0%	0%	40%
14	0xe6cfbdbd…95b6	6	$462.00	-99.0%	-1099.0%	50%	73%
15	0x33f38c08…400d	14	$345.00	-99.0%	-1099.0%	57%	80%
16	0xe56e2340…6f04	3	$299.00	-99.0%	-1099.0%	0%	43%
17	0xcfbf598d…f464	5	$230.00	-99.0%	-1099.0%	0%	66%
18	0xa1293ff5…0490	2	$228.00	-99.0%	-1099.0%	0%	40%
19	0x06b205bc…fd50	2	$144.00	-99.0%	-1099.0%	0%	40%
20	0xd8ca634c…35aa	2	$75.00	-99.0%	-1099.0%	0%	40%
21	0x33314df2…1f2f	3	$68.00	-99.0%	-1099.0%	0%	43%
22	0xa94b619b…9457	2	$62.00	-99.0%	-1099.0%	0%	40%
23	0x47027be9…f7bd	3	$35.00	-99.0%	-1099.0%	0%	43%
24	0xb5e79a15…9083	2	$35.00	-99.0%	-1099.0%	0%	40%
25	0x19125e34…d6e1	2	$17.00	-99.0%	-1099.0%	0%	40%
26	0x63df7280…592f	2	$3.3k	-99.0%	-1099.0%	0%	40%
27	0xd358f85d…5146	2	$6.4k	-98.2%	-1098.2%	0%	40%
28	0x8548bf5b…a63d	2	$145.7k	-97.3%	-1097.3%	0%	40%
29	0xcb929860…1f5b	2	$5.0k	-97.2%	-1097.2%	0%	40%
30	0xeff4196b…c790	2	$5.7k	-97.0%	-1097.0%	0%	60%
31	0xabbfc516…7191	2	$353.00	-96.2%	-1096.2%	0%	60%
32	0x1b973d51…63c8	3	$11.8k	-95.9%	-1095.9%	50%	57%
33	0xa1547693…993d	3	$1.0k	-94.1%	-1094.1%	0%	43%
34	0xb24d6318…885a	2	$6.2k	-93.5%	-1093.5%	50%	60%
35	0x1905bbda…aad0	2	$88.00	-93.5%	-1093.5%	0%	40%
36	0x262374c3…399e	4	$16.8k	-93.1%	-1093.1%	0%	50%
37	0x0d0ddf0b…3111	2	$8.8k	-93.1%	-1093.1%	0%	40%
38	0x82a2fed4…9a43	8	$7.6k	-93.1%	-1093.1%	0%	80%
39	0x334372f2…16f2	3	$3.1k	-93.1%	-1093.1%	0%	43%
40	0xe56ec8bb…6691	2	$92.00	-93.1%	-1093.1%	0%	40%
41	0x2735880f…33ee	2	$121.00	-83.8%	-1075.0%	0%	60%
42	0x878cf2b3…6e08	3	$3.7k	-70.2%	-1070.2%	0%	43%
43	0xfdf8d63b…680e	8	$3.9k	-65.0%	-1065.0%	0%	75%
44	0x2b2f72b6…7932	2	$2.4k	-64.9%	-1064.9%	0%	60%
45	0xe3c53a71…9a11	4	$8.2k	-64.8%	-1064.8%	0%	50%
46	0x139ac4d2…614b	2	$7.6k	-64.8%	-1064.8%	0%	40%
47	0xc8957671…1228	3	$663.00	-64.8%	-1064.8%	50%	57%
48	0x5ae8dec0…2bde	3	$628.00	-64.8%	-1064.8%	0%	43%
49	0xc9611ba3…6a62	2	$368.00	-64.8%	-1064.8%	0%	40%
50	0x119d6473…50ed	4	$202.00	-64.8%	-1064.8%	0%	60%
51	0xbcd2d916…5b2c	4	$0.00	-66.1%	-1064.8%	50%	60%
52	0x32c7f94f…ffc1	2	$364.00	-63.6%	-1063.7%	0%	40%
53	0xab18913e…16e4	2	$27.2k	-59.5%	-1059.5%	0%	40%
54	0x04e5a762…bdc8	2	$20.00	-58.3%	-1058.3%	0%	40%
55	0x7b6d87c7…3bed	3	$1.0k	-56.4%	-1056.4%	0%	43%
56	0xe41b4dd6…06ce	5	$397.00	-52.1%	-1052.1%	0%	58%
57	0x5d64e743…02c1	3	$77.00	-45.1%	-1045.1%	0%	57%
58	0x98ebd137…70b2	7	$0.00	-40.3%	-1040.3%	0%	66%
59	0xc3cb7481…6117	5	$0.00	-40.3%	-1040.3%	0%	58%
60	0x5d1e5bde…d79b	6	$2.1k	-57.2%	-1017.7%	0%	80%