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ML-Trader Vault 1
BlikelyVisit www.ML-Trader.com for more details
Taking money
Open
TVL
$19.9k
Return
0.0%
over observed history
Recent
—
30d · 90d
Max drawdown
0.0%
peak to trough
Sortino
—
return per unit of downside risk
History
7d
653 observations
Confidence
2%
in these metrics
Value and drawdown
Range
Hover for values. Upper: vault value, with BTC indexed to the same starting capital. Lower: how far below its own peak it was.
No strategy has been declared for this vault
Everything above is reconstructed from public data. A declaration is free, signed from this vault’s own key, and cannot be edited afterwards.Note 28
Passport
Identity
Vault contract0xb48526e7…9efd
Network
Hyperliquid
PlatformHyperliquid
OperatorML Trader Vault 10x301b2a67…4a6c
Deposit assetUSDC
Created on-chain2025-08-19
First observed by us2026-08-11
Statuslive
What is deciding
unregisteredStrategy versionNot attested — the operator has not bound this record to a specific version
Model providerNot attested — no model declared
ModelNot attested — no model declared
System prompt hashNot attested — no prompt commitment
Policy hashNot attested — no policy commitment
Inferred moderules automated (100% confidence)
These fields are empty because nobody has attested them, not because we failed to find them. An operator who registers gets a record that provably cannot be edited after the fact — and a grade no unregistered strategy can reach.
How much to trust this
Provenance gradeBReal capital, readable at the venue — but the operator’s full cohort is unproven.
Machine-managedyes (70% confidence)
Evidence
- behavioural Execution timing indicates automation (rules automated): Activity spread evenly across all 24 hours (evenness 0.912).
- name_signal Name contains autonomy signal: ml
Metric confidence2%62 observations over 7 days
RankingNot ranked — insufficient history
Alignment and capacity
Operator’s own share100.0%
Commission10%
Depositor wallets2
Concentration1.00 · largest holder 100%
Estimated capacity$815.7k ($407.9k–$1.63M)
Net flow 30d$0.00
How this vault behaves
from 2,000 fills over 16.09 daysTiming indicates rules automated management, confidence 100%.
- · Activity spread evenly across all 24 hours (evenness 0.912).
- · 124.3 fills per day — beyond sustained manual trading.
Overnight activity 41%
Hour-of-day evenness 91%
Cadence regularity 0%
Clock alignment 29%
Fills per day 124.3
Instruments 8
Timing only. This says nothing about whether the strategy is any good — a losing bot is still a bot.
How the capacity estimate was reached
- 3 of 8 instruments showed no positive edge.
- Impact is inferred from this strategy’s own realised cost, not measured against a book.
- A 10% participation ceiling is applied where venue volume is known.
- Trade size is converted to capital using the strategy’s own capital-to-trade-size ratio.
- Capacity is capped at 50× the largest trade actually observed — beyond that we are extrapolating.
| Instrument | Edge | Taker | Median trade | Limit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SUI | 57.4bps | 40% | $1.0k | Limited by market share: 10% of 17M daily volume across 15 trades a day. |
| ARB | 42.8bps | 28% | $599.00 | Limited by market share: 10% of 2M daily volume across 11 trades a day. |
| JUP | 10.6bps | 17% | $370.00 | Edge 10.6bps against 3.7bps of realised cost. |
| SEI | 9.5bps | 15% | $668.00 | Limited by market share: 10% of 1M daily volume across 24 trades a day. |
| AVAX | 2.6bps | 40% | $1.0k | Edge 2.6bps against 5.3bps of realised cost. |
| ADA | -7.6bps | 36% | $954.00 | No positive edge observed — capacity is not the binding constraint here. |
| LINK | -20.7bps | 44% | $1.4k | No positive edge observed — capacity is not the binding constraint here. |
| DOGE | -1.4bps | 65% | $1.5k | No positive edge observed — capacity is not the binding constraint here. |
Who is in it
as at 2026-08-23 19:26Largest wallet
100.0%
Top five
100.0%
Concentration
1.000
Wallets seen
1
| # | Wallet | Deposited | Share | All-time P&L | In for |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Leader | $19.9k | 100.0% | -$97.71 | 369d |
Shares are of the capital we can observe, not of reported TVL ($19.9k) — dividing by a total that includes wallets outside our sample would understate every share and make concentration look better than it is.
Money in and out
Ledger read 30 hours agoIn
$23.6k
3 deposits
Out
$0.00
0 withdrawals
Net
$23.6k
118.5% of TVL
Window
84d
last 3 movements
| When | Type | Amount | Of vault | Transaction |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-12 03:40 | deposit | $3.7k | 18.50% | 0x3fc8ab9f…9f4d |
| 2025-08-26 19:21 | deposit | $10.0k | 50.25% | 0xc4982868…aa24 |
| 2025-08-19 16:07 | deposit | $9.9k | 49.74% | 0x5dc45093…fdc9 |
Shares are against the vault’s current size, so an old movement is measured against today rather than against what the vault was then. It is the comparison a reader wants — how much of this vault that was — and it is not the same as the share it represented at the time.
The shape of the record
101 completed round tripsRebuilt from the venue’s own open and close labels on every fill. A return figure cannot say whether it came from being right often and small or rarely and large, and those are opposite businesses.
Win rate
31%
Payoff
2.32
Profit factor
1.03
Median hold
6.7h
101 round trips, 31% of them profitable, holding a median 6.7 hours. The average win is $481 against an average loss of $207. Most trades lose a little and a few pay for all of them, which reads badly on a hit rate and is the more durable shape.
What is still missing
- Operator cohort. We show what the venue still exposes; strategies deleted before we began observing are invisible, and only pre-registration can make a cohort provably complete.
- Gross-to-net waterfall. Returns are venue-reported and not yet decomposed into fees, funding and slippage.
- Off-chain exposure. Anything held on a centralised exchange is invisible to us, so the risk shown is a floor.